compare most-recent polls to actual results. Polls have been especially
unreliable this year, and in many of recent primaries, Obama has
outperformed the polls by 10 or more points; here's most recent:
First:
Obama 47
Clinton 43
Unsure 10
Second:
Obama 47
Clinton 42
Unsure 11
Third:
Clinton 49
Obama 43
Unsure 8
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