>
> OK. Reality check. Hillary's shot was to win big in Ohio and Texas to
> close the gap by 70 or so pledged delegates to be in striking distance.
I think your math is off a bit...
total delegates needed to win
total delegates needed to win
2025
current count (pledged only)
Clinton
Obama 1193
Clinton 1038
Pledged delegates left
981
Clinton needs
987 (so at this point she has to have a deadlock going into the
convention and can not win the pledged delegate count)
Obama needs
832 or 84 %
I may have missed something and if I have please correct me but
basically this will lead to a deadlocked convention.
If we add committed super delegates: (which is silly because there is
no such thing as a committed super)
Obama 1375 To win 650 or 67% of pledged left
Clinton 1279 To win 746 or 76% of pledged left
All delegates left:
1353
clinton to win 54% of all available
Obama to win 48% of all available
Current popular split (even more silly due to caususes) but:
Popular Vote Total 10,305,403 9,379,822
Popular Vote (w/FL) 10,881,617 10,250,808
Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)10,881,617 10,579,117
These numbers may be one or two off. The wildcard may be the handful
of Edwards delegates... but she can easily force this to a vote on the
floor and has shown every intention of doing so. So like I said... be
prepared for a deathmarch to the convention. Just remember "its good
for the party!"
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