[Dems2008] Re: PPP Poll shows Obama +2% in PA... was -26% 2 weeks ago...

I am sceptical. The polls understemated Clinton in Ohio and my
feeling is she is still strong in PA. She NEEDS a double digit win
there to have even the most remote hope of her "hail mary" win. I
this poll is true she is done done done. IF Obama outright wins PA,
the supers will flock his way in droves. He may have 2024 before NC.

--- In Dems2008@yahoogroups.com, Rob Harrington <Eamon1916@...> wrote:
>
> http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Penn_Release_040208.pdf
>
> Raleigh, N.C. â€" Barack Obama has taken the lead over Hillary
Clinton 45-43 in
> Pennsylvania, according to the newest survey from Public Policy
Polling.
>
> It’s a remarkable turn around from PPP’s last Pennsylvania
poll, conducted two and a
> half weeks ago, that showed Clinton with a 26 point lead in the
state. That poll was
> released at the height of the Jeremiah Wright controversy and the
day before Obama’s
> major speech on race in Philadelphia. Obama has been trending
upward in national
> polling and in many state level polls since then and this survey
reflects that pattern.
>
> “In the last few weeks there has been increasing attention given
to the fact that a
> continuing divisive Democratic nomination fight could hurt the
party’s chances of
> defeating John McCain this fall,” said Dean Debnam, President of
Public Policy Polling.
> “The major movement in Obama’s direction in Pennsylvania could
be an indication that
> Democrats in that state think it’s time to wrap it up.”
>
> Obama is narrowing the gap with white voters, trailing just 49-38,
while maintaining his
> customary significant advantage with black voters. He leads that
group 75-17.
>
> Obama also leads among all age groups except senior citizens, with
whom Clinton has a
> 50-34 advantage. The poll shows the standard gender gap with Obama
leading by 15
> points among men while trailing by 10 points with women.
>
> PPP surveyed 1224 likely Democratic primary voters on March 31st
and April 1st. The
> survey’s margin of errors is +/- 2.8%. Other factors, such as
refusal to be interviewed
> and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more
difficult to quantify.
>
> Public Policy Polling had the most accurate numbers of any company
in the country for
> the Democratic primaries in South Carolina and Wisconsin, as well
as the closest
> numbers for any organization that polled the contests in both Texas
and Ohio.
>
> Slainte,
> Rob Harrington
>

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